Friday, July 3, 2015

Hope Springs Eternal


Watching the US beat Colombia 2-0, China 1-0, and then Germany 2-0 in the Women's World Cup one may feel proud just as I was proud watching Lance Armstrong only to find out later that he was a fraud or Detroit Tiger fans rooting for Ty Cobb at the turn of the century only to find out later that he was an abusive racist.  We love to put our heroes on pedestals and are shocked when we find out the truth and don't want to believe it (the "say if ain't so Joe" effect).


 
Hope Solo, the US goalkeeper who has only allowed one goal so far may lead the US team to their first WC win since 1999.  She is accused of assaulting her half sister and her nephew last summer and had a restraining order placed against her as a senior in high school.  The evidence against her seems strong in the video clip at the top of the post.  The Rachel Maddow has been cheering the US women on her blog and her show with no mention of Solo's legal troubles while she criticized the NFL for it's lackadaisical response to the domestic abuse of Ray Rice and Adrian Peterson.  

Reliable statistics on domestic violence can be hard to come by especially when victims do not want to come forward.  The studies that have been done suggest that women are victims more often than men.  One study estimates that 1.5 million women and 834,732 men are victims annuallyWomen can be abusers of children and their partners, again probably to a lesser extent than men.  There may be a cultural bias that women cannot be abusers like men are

FIFA (the governing body of world soccer with many of it's leaders under indictment for corruption) and US Soccer also doesn't want to punish Solo because she is one of their major stars.  She is one of women's soccer's few money makers in endorsements and merchandising. 

The male game in soccer and the NFL has many stars who can take the place of one bad apple like Ray Rice. The women's game is trying to increase interest throughout the world.  FIFA head Sepp Blatter has talked about improving the profile of the women's game by giving them tighter fitting clothes.  With the right public pressure NFL commissioner Roger Goodell did the right thing with respect to domestic abusing players in his league.  What will it take for women's soccer?

**Related Stories**


 

Deflating Super Bowl Dynasties

 

Lance, Issac, and Joe: Lessons of Hubris?

 

Say it ain't so JoePa!

 

Concussions


Sunday, June 28, 2015

Prominent Pinckneys in South Carolina Politics


President Obama gave a nice eulogy to the Rev. and South Carolina State Senator Clementa Pinckney on Friday after he laid in state at the South Carolina State Capitol.  He was the first African American to have such an honor after being gunned down by white supremacist Dylann Roof.  While Rev. Pinckney was the first African American to have such an honor he is not the first Pinckney to be prominent in South Carolina politics. 

Two generations before the Civil War and the Confederate Flag, Thomas Pinckney served as Governor of the Palmetto state from 1787 to 1789.  He also served in the Revolution and the War of 1812.  He was appointed by President George Washington (a fellow slave holder) as ambassador to Great  Britain and negotiated Pinckney's treaty with Spain in 1795 which guaranteed navigation rights for the US (for slave trading) and defined the borders of Louisiana and Florida.  In 1796 he lost to Thomas Jefferson (another slave owner) for the Vice Presidency which in those days went to the second place finisher for the Presidency in the electoral college. 
 
Thomas Pinckney was succeeded as governor of South by his cousin Charles Pinckney who was present at the constitutional convention in 1787.  At the convention he submitted a clause that required that fugitive slaves be returned to their owners.  He served two additional terms as governor one term as senator.  When not in office he was involved in the slave trade. 


Yet another Charles Pinckney was another prominent Pinckney Charles Coatesworth Pinckney.  Like his younger brother Thomas, he was active in the Revolutionary War under George Washington.  He later served with his cousin Charles at the Constitutional Constitutional Convention.  He helped broker the compromise there that ended the slave trade in 1808 and gave the Senate the power to ratify treaties.  He also advocated counting slaves as one person in the Census (while still denying them their freedom).  They ended up counting them as 3/5 or 60% of a person.  President Washington offered him the position of Secretary of War (now Secretary of Defense) but he accepted appointment as ambassador to France where he was part of the XYZ affair where he was offered a bribe by Napoleon's Agents.  The Federalist Party nominated him to run for Vice President in 1800 but he lost to Aaron Burr.  He was nominated for President by the Federalist Party in 1804 but he lost to fellow slave holder Thomas Jefferson.  The Federalists nominated him again for President in 1808 but he lost to another slave owner from Virginia named James Madison.


I don't know if Reverend Pinckney is related to these three aformentioned Pinckneys and there may be no way of knowing.  Sometimes slaves took the surname of their masters.  It's possible that those other three Pinckney's have living African American descendants today just as Thomas Jefferson does. This is their shared heritage whether Dylann Roof wants to admit it or not.  


**Related Posts**

A Wave of Hate Groups in California? No in Washington, DC

A Geographical Represenation of the Mode and Ethnicity

The 14th Amendment: MVA (Most Versatile Amendment) Award Winner

The Civil War in a Larger International Historical Context

 

 

 


Saturday, June 6, 2015

2016 Facebook Presidential Primary Update: Engagement and Gain

Now that the Presidential candidate field has expanded to 20 with Donald Trump pretending to be a legitimate candidate, I thought I'd look at how their Facebook pages have progressed.  I looked at how they have gained followers and how the level of engagement relates to the number of followers.  Rand Paul had the highest gain in followers (those who click like on the page) at 78,429 followed closely by Ben Caron at 74,383.  Rand Paul is now the first in either party to surpass 2 million total followers.  Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton far out-gained the Democratic field with gains of 52,423 and 32,263 followers respectively.  Though Lincoln Chafee announced his candidacy this week, he has not set up an official page.  George Pataki was a surprise announcement and there is no gain score for him.  In the table at the bottom, all of the candidates pages are linked to the names in the table below.  The numbers on the links may differ from the numbers in the table so you can track how their numbers change since this posting.

The level of engagement (called "people who are talking about this" on the Facebook page) is the number of people who have either clicked on a post from the page, clicked like on a post from the page, commented on a page post, or shared a post with their Facebook page.
Rand Paul again leads the Republican field with 281,904 engaged (probably due to his opposition to the Patriot Act).  In the Democratic field, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 164,721 to 136,722 in this category.

The engagement rate is a measure of the level of enthusiasm by page followers.  It is simply the number engaged divided by the total followers.  George Pataki leads all candidates in this category with 29% followed by Bernie Sanders at 26%, Martin O'Malley at 22% and surprisingly Carly Fiorina at 21%.  Pataki,O'Malley and Fiorina have a relatively small number of followers at 15,391, 70,748 and 60,165 respectively.

Comparing the candidates across parties,  As can be seen in the table immediately below, the Republicans have more followers per candidate but the Democrats (and socialist Bernie Sanders) had a higher average gain in followers and a higher rate of engagement on their pages. 




Republican
N
Mean
Std. Deviation
Presidential followers June
Yes
15
660330.60
692891.882
No
5
465180.40
405045.637
Gain in Followers, June
Yes
14
15144.07
26227.543
No
5
19565.60
22157.034
Engagement Rate, June
Yes
15
10.15%
7.309%
No
5
15.74%
9.865%





Candidate
Presidential followers June
Gain in Followers, June
Level of engagement June
Engagement Rate, June
Republican
No
871449
32263
164721
.19
530262
52423
136772
.26
70478
4764
15535
.22
Lincoln Chafee
.
.
.
.
831968
8122
8998
.01
21745
256
2366
.11
Yes
1249160
4762
134836
.11
1743599
9519
231343
.13
261168
1982
17289
.07
1487589
74383
168658
.11
2001304
78429
281904
.14
111795
3914
10982
.10
178172
1888
4681
.03
283102
4901
24483
.09
874898
13893
83916
.10
104785
619
3014
.03
1183094
8979
40992
.03
243034
3504
5174
.02
60165
4765
12713
.21
107703
479
7320
.07
15,391

4,512

29

**Update**

Just when I thought I had the Presidential field covered, Donald Trump decides to join in.  Well here are his Facebook page's numbers.  He has 1,792,016 followers, and 113,658 new followers in the last week, 53,880 engaged with his page.  Dividing 53,880 by 1,792,016 gives an engagement rate of .03 or 3% which places him even with Jeb Bush, Rick Perry, and Chris Christie among Republicans.

**Related posts**

The 2016 Facebook Presidential Primary

 

Houston, TX: A Hotbed of Conservative Facebook Activity?

 

Rick Perry's Efforts to Save Us All


Santorum's "Bounce"